Casey Cizikas vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.7%). Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs McCarron 52.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 61.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 57.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 58.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Cizikas
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Cizikas
McCarron
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
2
Cizikas
McCarron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
53.3% (2,926)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
45.3% (86)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
50.1% (469)
-5.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Cizikas
McCarron
Home
53.8% (5,529)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Cizikas
McCarron
P1
53.1%
53.8%
P2
51.1%
52.3%
P3
51.8%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |