Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 54.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Cizikas
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
53.3% (807)
+1.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
47.6% (42)
+52.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
46.3% (147)
+0.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zibanejad
Home
54.8% (301)
49.8% (466)
Away
54.8% (299)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Cizikas
Zibanejad
P1
58.7%
52.9%
P2
56.1%
51.2%
P3
50.5%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |