Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Backlund 49.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 87.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 52.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 74.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Cizikas
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
50.5% (944)
+4.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
51.5% (66)
+48.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
47.1% (297)
-0.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Backlund
Home
54.8% (301)
48.1% (636)
Away
54.8% (299)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Cizikas
Backlund
P1
58.7%
45.4%
P2
56.1%
54.1%
P3
50.5%
49.2%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |