Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Frost 56.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 73.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Cizikas
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cizikas
Frost
Last 6: Cizikas 3-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Cizikas
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
56.0% (755)
-0.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
60.1% (173)
+39.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
88.9% (9)
-42.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frost
Home
54.8% (301)
57.3% (497)
Away
54.8% (299)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Cizikas
Frost
P1
58.7%
60.2%
P2
56.1%
56.0%
P3
50.5%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |