Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Kadri 47.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 94.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 80.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Cizikas
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cizikas
Kadri
Last 7: Cizikas 5-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Cizikas
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
46.2% (1,005)
+10.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
57.3% (199)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
26.7% (30)
+13.9%
On power play, Kadri has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Kadri
Home
55.0% (473)
47.4% (641)
Away
51.7% (466)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Cizikas
Kadri
P1
54.9%
46.9%
P2
50.8%
49.5%
P3
54.5%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |