Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 92.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 86.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Last 7: Cizikas 6-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
49.7% (292)
+5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (6)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
47.2% (36)
-0.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Home
54.8% (301)
48.7% (193)
Away
54.8% (299)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Cizikas
Bjugstad
P1
58.7%
41.5%
P2
56.1%
57.3%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |