Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 22-16 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 61.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 76.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
16
(38 meetings)
22
16
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Last 10: Cizikas 8-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
9
Cizikas
Bjugstad
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
8
3
Cizikas
Bjugstad
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
10
4
Cizikas
Bjugstad
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
48.6% (6,646)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
55.2% (829)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
44.3% (614)
+0.1%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Home
53.8% (5,529)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Cizikas
Bjugstad
P1
53.1%
48.9%
P2
51.1%
49.1%
P3
51.8%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |