Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.3%). Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Paul 53.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 66.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Cizikas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cizikas
Paul
Last 8: Cizikas 3-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
4
Cizikas
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
53.7% (354)
+1.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.0% (61)
+41.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
52.9% (34)
-6.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cizikas is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Cizikas shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Paul
Home
54.3% (291)
55.1% (216)
Away
54.8% (299)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Cizikas
Paul
P1
58.3%
54.9%
P2
56.4%
54.5%
P3
49.8%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |