Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.6%). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Sturm 53.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 71.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 63.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 57.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Cizikas
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cizikas
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
54.6% (271)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
54.4% (90)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Sturm
Home
54.8% (301)
53.0% (168)
Away
54.8% (299)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Cizikas
Sturm
P1
58.7%
58.2%
P2
56.1%
53.2%
P3
50.5%
52.3%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |