Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Acciari 50.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 79.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 78.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 51.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Cizikas
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cizikas
Acciari
Last 6: Cizikas 3-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Cizikas
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
52.7% (313)
+2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
33.3% (18)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
49.7% (195)
-3.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Acciari
Home
54.8% (301)
52.6% (291)
Away
54.8% (299)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Cizikas
Acciari
P1
58.7%
53.7%
P2
56.1%
51.1%
P3
50.5%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |