Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Brown 54.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 61.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Cizikas
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cizikas
Brown
Last 7: Cizikas 3-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
Cizikas
Brown
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Brown
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
56.5% (726)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
62.5% (8)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
47.8% (136)
-3.4%
On power play, Brown has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Brown
Home
53.8% (5,529)
57.4% (364)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Cizikas
Brown
P1
53.1%
51.4%
P2
51.1%
54.6%
P3
51.8%
58.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |