Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Zacha 49.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 28-23 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 79.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 68.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Cizikas
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
28
(51 meetings)
23
28
Cizikas
Zacha
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
17
Cizikas
Zacha
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
12
5
Cizikas
Zacha
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
8
6
Cizikas
Zacha
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
48.9% (5,156)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
55.7% (813)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
42.2% (557)
+2.2%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Cizikas shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zacha
Home
53.8% (5,529)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Cizikas
Zacha
P1
53.1%
49.9%
P2
51.1%
49.2%
P3
51.8%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 14, 2021 | OT | 03:14 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2021 | OT | 03:05 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 14, 2021 | OT | 02:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |