Casey Cizikas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 58.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 73.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
46.0% (250)
+9.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
70.6% (17)
+29.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
31.8% (22)
+14.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.8% (301)
50.3% (175)
Away
54.8% (299)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.7%
48.5%
P2
56.1%
45.9%
P3
50.5%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |