Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.3%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Carrick 52.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 53.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 51.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Cizikas
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Cizikas
Carrick
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
5
Cizikas
Carrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Cizikas
Carrick
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
52.2% (2,544)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
61.3% (75)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
50.8% (435)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carrick
Home
53.8% (5,529)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Cizikas
Carrick
P1
53.1%
51.8%
P2
51.1%
52.3%
P3
51.8%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |