Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 53.9%). Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Couturier 53.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 62.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 63.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 60.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Cizikas
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Cizikas
Couturier
Last 10: Cizikas 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
2
Cizikas
Couturier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
53.9% (792)
+1.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
62.9% (70)
+37.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
51.3% (234)
-4.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Cizikas is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Cizikas shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Couturier
Home
54.3% (291)
51.4% (541)
Away
54.8% (299)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Cizikas
Couturier
P1
58.3%
56.0%
P2
56.4%
52.6%
P3
49.8%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |