Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Monahan 52.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 53.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Cizikas
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
53.0% (874)
+2.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
54.7% (161)
+45.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
47.5% (101)
-1.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Monahan
Home
54.8% (301)
53.8% (558)
Away
54.8% (299)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Cizikas
Monahan
P1
58.7%
49.5%
P2
56.1%
54.8%
P3
50.5%
52.8%
OT
33.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |