Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.3%). Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Aho 51.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 26-17 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 74.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 64.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Cizikas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
17
(43 meetings)
26
17
Cizikas
Aho
Last 10: Cizikas 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
11
Cizikas
Aho
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
9
1
Cizikas
Aho
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
15
5
Cizikas
Aho
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
50.2% (6,646)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
46.5% (465)
-2.1%
On power play, Aho has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Cizikas shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Aho
Home
53.8% (5,529)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Cizikas
Aho
P1
53.1%
51.1%
P2
51.1%
52.1%
P3
51.8%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |