Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 82.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 97.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 95.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 95.0%
95.0%
5.0%
Cizikas
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Cizikas
Wright
Last 8: Cizikas 7-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Cizikas
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
39.7% (461)
+15.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
41.0% (61)
+59.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
0.0% (1)
+46.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Wright
Home
54.8% (301)
39.5% (286)
Away
54.8% (299)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Cizikas
Wright
P1
58.7%
40.2%
P2
56.1%
36.7%
P3
50.5%
42.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Shane Wright |