Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Ott 55.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 51.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 66.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 57.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Cizikas
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Cizikas
Ott
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Ott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Cizikas
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
57.2% (2,802)
-3.7%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
55.4% (567)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
49.9% (853)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Cizikas shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Ott
Home
53.8% (5,529)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Cizikas
Ott
P1
53.1%
56.7%
P2
51.1%
53.9%
P3
51.8%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Steve Ott |