Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Hertl 57.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 83.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 65.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Cizikas
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cizikas
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
58.7% (858)
-3.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.8% (285)
+44.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
62.9% (35)
-16.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hertl
Home
54.8% (301)
60.1% (599)
Away
54.8% (299)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Cizikas
Hertl
P1
58.7%
52.4%
P2
56.1%
63.9%
P3
50.5%
58.5%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |