Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Johnson 49.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 55.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 93.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 76.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Cizikas
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
13
(33 meetings)
20
13
Cizikas
Johnson
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
5
8
Cizikas
Johnson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
8
0
Cizikas
Johnson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
7
5
Cizikas
Johnson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
54.6% (885)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
42.3% (707)
+2.1%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Johnson
Home
53.8% (5,529)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Cizikas
Johnson
P1
53.1%
50.1%
P2
51.1%
50.6%
P3
51.8%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |