Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 71.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 68.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Cizikas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cizikas
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Cizikas
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
48.0% (914)
+5.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.2% (48)
+45.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
43.9% (123)
+7.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Gourde
Home
58.6% (307)
50.2% (512)
Away
48.7% (339)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Cizikas
Gourde
P1
56.7%
50.0%
P2
49.8%
45.3%
P3
53.8%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |