Casey Mittelstadt vs Chandler Stephenson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Stephenson 52.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 72.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 58.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 59.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
52.0% (867)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
62.1% (248)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.5% (185)
+60.5%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Home
58.7% (92)
53.1% (672)
Away
42.0% (81)
51.1% (628)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
P1
47.7%
54.2%
P2
48.2%
50.7%
P3
56.7%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |