Casey Mittelstadt vs Claude Giroux
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Giroux 61.3% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 61.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 84.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 67.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Mittelstadt
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
61.0% (420)
-11.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.4% (113)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
65.6% (163)
+34.4%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Giroux
Home
58.7% (92)
66.6% (350)
Away
42.0% (81)
59.2% (346)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Giroux
P1
47.7%
62.1%
P2
48.2%
64.7%
P3
56.7%
61.6%
OT
33.3%
69.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |