Casey Mittelstadt vs Connor Bedard
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Bedard 46.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 65.8%
Defensive zone
Bedard 53.1%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 55.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
44.2% (505)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.7% (36)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.8% (13)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Home
58.7% (92)
50.7% (223)
Away
42.0% (81)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bedard
P1
47.7%
40.2%
P2
48.2%
49.2%
P3
56.7%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |