Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Haula 49.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 56.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Mittelstadt
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mittelstadt
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Haula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Mittelstadt
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
49.9% (747)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
53.8% (78)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.4% (66)
+57.6%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Haula
Home
58.7% (92)
48.5% (468)
Away
42.0% (81)
51.1% (423)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Haula
P1
47.7%
52.5%
P2
48.2%
51.1%
P3
56.7%
45.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Erik Haula |