Casey Mittelstadt vs Evan Rodrigues
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.3%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 58.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
47.8% (651)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
47.2% (72)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
36.8% (68)
+63.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
Home
58.7% (92)
47.9% (445)
Away
42.0% (81)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Rodrigues
P1
47.7%
48.3%
P2
48.2%
47.0%
P3
56.7%
44.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |