Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Eichel 48.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 50.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 51.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Mittelstadt
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mittelstadt
Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Eichel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Mittelstadt
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
48.2% (909)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
55.2% (67)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.2% (97)
+58.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Eichel
Home
58.7% (92)
48.0% (564)
Away
42.0% (81)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Eichel
P1
47.7%
49.8%
P2
48.2%
48.6%
P3
56.7%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |