Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Hughes 39.5% (+14.7%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 64.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Mittelstadt
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
36.7% (305)
+12.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
14.3% (7)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (6)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Home
58.7% (92)
35.8% (159)
Away
42.0% (81)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hughes
P1
47.7%
42.3%
P2
48.2%
28.2%
P3
56.7%
37.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%