Casey Mittelstadt vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 51.2%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 51.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
47.3% (207)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
100.0% (3)
-45.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.7% (92)
46.5% (129)
Away
42.0% (81)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kotkaniemi
P1
47.7%
51.3%
P2
48.2%
46.1%
P3
56.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%