Casey Mittelstadt vs John Tavares
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Tavares 56.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 59.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Mittelstadt
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
57.7% (975)
-8.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.0% (250)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
52.2% (23)
+47.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Home
58.7% (92)
57.4% (636)
Away
42.0% (81)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Tavares
P1
47.7%
57.5%
P2
48.2%
56.9%
P3
56.7%
57.5%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |