Casey Mittelstadt vs Jordan Staal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Staal 54.6% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 67.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Mittelstadt
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
56.2% (989)
-6.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.0% (159)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.7% (253)
+57.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Staal
Home
58.7% (92)
55.4% (699)
Away
42.0% (81)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Staal
P1
47.7%
55.7%
P2
48.2%
54.7%
P3
56.7%
53.4%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%