Casey Mittelstadt vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Hayes 47.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 61.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 63.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
6
Mittelstadt
Hayes
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Mittelstadt
Hayes
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Mittelstadt
Hayes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,911)
47.6% (6,698)
-2.6%
Power Play
49.8% (660)
51.7% (702)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
45.4% (696)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,769).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Home
46.8% (2,314)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
44.4% (2,353)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hayes
P1
46.7%
47.5%
P2
46.2%
47.7%
P3
44.0%
47.9%
OT
38.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |