Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Rossi 49.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.0%
Defensive zone
Rossi 53.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
51.6% (440)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
35.1% (37)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.0% (27)
+63.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Rossi
Home
58.7% (92)
50.0% (260)
Away
42.0% (81)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Rossi
P1
47.7%
53.7%
P2
48.2%
47.6%
P3
56.7%
47.4%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |