Casey Mittelstadt vs Matty Beniers
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 46.4%). Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Beniers 46.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 68.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Last 10: Mittelstadt 1-9 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
5
Mittelstadt
Beniers
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
5
Mittelstadt
Beniers
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,911)
46.5% (3,610)
-1.5%
Power Play
49.8% (660)
47.1% (350)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
41.4% (111)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,769).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Beniers is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,677).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Home
46.8% (2,314)
48.8% (2,092)
Away
44.4% (2,353)
44.0% (1,979)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Beniers
P1
46.7%
47.3%
P2
46.2%
47.0%
P3
44.0%
45.5%
OT
38.5%
34.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |