Casey Mittelstadt vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Backlund 49.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
50.5% (944)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
51.5% (66)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.1% (297)
+52.9%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Home
58.7% (92)
48.1% (636)
Away
42.0% (81)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backlund
P1
47.7%
45.4%
P2
48.2%
54.1%
P3
56.7%
49.2%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |