Casey Mittelstadt vs Nick Bjugstad

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 59.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Bjugstad 49.9% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 71.6%
Defensive zone Bjugstad 65.6%
Neutral zone Bjugstad 56.7%
Result Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Mittelstadt Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
50.9% (212)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
40.0% (5)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.1% (34)
+55.9%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +55.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Mittelstadt is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Home
60.7% (89)
52.3% (151)
Away
43.1% (65)
46.0% (100)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
P1
46.3%
44.9%
P2
52.9%
56.8%
P3
58.6%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%
53.0%
53.2%
Bjugstad
44.0%
49.0%
49.8%