Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.6%). Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Last 5: Mittelstadt 2-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
51.3% (945)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
50.7% (282)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.3% (67)
+59.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
Home
58.7% (92)
51.0% (637)
Away
42.0% (81)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Suzuki
P1
47.7%
53.1%
P2
48.2%
47.4%
P3
56.7%
51.3%
OT
33.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |