Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Roy 51.9% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 73.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 76.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Mittelstadt
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
51.9% (547)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
54.1% (37)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.3% (92)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Roy
Home
58.7% (92)
54.0% (328)
Away
42.0% (81)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Roy
P1
47.7%
53.5%
P2
48.2%
51.6%
P3
56.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%