Casey Mittelstadt vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 51.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.2%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 55.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
40.5% (190)
+9.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
42.9% (14)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
30.0% (10)
+70.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
Home
58.7% (92)
40.7% (118)
Away
42.0% (81)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Buchnevich
P1
47.7%
42.3%
P2
48.2%
37.5%
P3
56.7%
40.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |