Casey Mittelstadt vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Danault 53.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 84.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 71.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Mittelstadt
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Mittelstadt
Danault
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
7
2
Mittelstadt
Danault
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
4
Mittelstadt
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Mittelstadt
Danault
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
53.6% (9,481)
-8.6%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
61.3% (758)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
47.4% (1,710)
-9.9%
On power play, Danault has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Danault
Home
46.7% (2,317)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Danault
P1
46.7%
53.7%
P2
46.1%
53.4%
P3
44.0%
52.7%
OT
36.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |