Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Colton 49.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.1%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 53.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Mittelstadt
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
47.3% (91)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
71.4% (7)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Colton
Home
58.7% (92)
46.9% (49)
Away
42.0% (81)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Colton
P1
47.7%
56.4%
P2
48.2%
47.1%
P3
56.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |