Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Strome
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 44.6%). Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Strome 44.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 20-19 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Mittelstadt
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
20
(39 meetings)
19
20
Mittelstadt
Strome
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
7
9
Mittelstadt
Strome
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
8
Mittelstadt
Strome
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
7
3
Mittelstadt
Strome
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
44.2% (6,887)
+0.8%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
49.2% (855)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
41.5% (410)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Strome
Home
46.7% (2,317)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Strome
P1
46.7%
43.9%
P2
46.1%
45.4%
P3
44.0%
44.4%
OT
36.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |