Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Bennett 48.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 51.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
46.4% (811)
+3.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.9% (153)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.8% (46)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bennett
Home
58.7% (92)
49.9% (553)
Away
42.0% (81)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bennett
P1
47.7%
47.4%
P2
48.2%
46.8%
P3
56.7%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | OT | 02:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |