Casey Mittelstadt vs Sam Steel

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.8%).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Steel 50.6% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 64.0%
Defensive zone Steel 57.5%
Neutral zone Steel 54.1%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Mittelstadt Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
52.5% (200)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
71.4% (7)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.0% (45)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +60.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Steel shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Steel
Home
58.7% (92)
49.5% (109)
Away
42.0% (81)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Steel
P1
47.7%
49.5%
P2
48.2%
47.5%
P3
56.7%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%
50.0%
50.9%
Steel
50.0%
49.0%
50.8%