Casey Mittelstadt vs Sean Couturier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Couturier 53.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 85.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 70.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
53.9% (792)
-4.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
62.9% (70)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.3% (234)
+48.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Home
58.7% (92)
51.4% (541)
Away
42.0% (81)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Couturier
P1
47.7%
56.0%
P2
48.2%
52.6%
P3
56.7%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |