Casey Mittelstadt vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 64.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 61.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 66.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
9
Mittelstadt
Monahan
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
6
Mittelstadt
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
51.1% (11,407)
-6.1%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
53.6% (2,582)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
45.9% (772)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Home
46.7% (2,317)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Monahan
P1
46.7%
51.0%
P2
46.1%
51.7%
P3
44.0%
51.0%
OT
36.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |