Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+9.6%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 51.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.3%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 53.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
42.6% (54)
+7.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
33.3% (6)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.0% (15)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
Home
58.7% (92)
43.6% (39)
Away
42.0% (81)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Jarvis
P1
47.7%
36.0%
P2
48.2%
48.3%
P3
56.7%
36.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%