Casey Mittelstadt vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 59.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
57.1% (368)
-7.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
55.2% (96)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (10)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
Home
58.7% (92)
53.9% (230)
Away
42.0% (81)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stamkos
P1
47.7%
56.7%
P2
48.2%
54.1%
P3
56.7%
59.2%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%