Casey Mittelstadt vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Thompson 45.2% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Mittelstadt
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
44.6% (661)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
48.4% (95)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (33)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Thompson
Home
58.7% (92)
45.7% (411)
Away
42.0% (81)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Thompson
P1
47.7%
47.7%
P2
48.2%
45.7%
P3
56.7%
40.5%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%